World Cup 2026 Hub

Predictions

AI-powered predictions for the football World Cup 2026. Tournament winner probabilities, Golden Boot contenders, and group stage forecasts — all generated by our prediction models.

Who Will Win the World Cup?

Model-generated win probabilities for the top 10 contenders. Odds shown in American format.

Team
Probability
Odds
1
France
34.8%
+187
2
Argentina
20.0%
+400
3
Spain
14.3%
+600
4
England
9.1%
+1000
5
Brazil
7.7%
+1200
6
Portugal
7.7%
+1200
7
Morocco
3.8%
+2500
8
Colombia
3.8%
+2500
9
Mexico
3.8%
+2500
10
USA
2.9%
+3300
Win probability (higher = more likely)
+600Click odds to bet on Fanatics

Golden Boot Race

Top scorers to watch — who will take home the Golden Boot?

Player
Odds
1
Lionel MessiArgentina
+275
2
Kylian MbappeFrance
+300
3
Erling HaalandNorway
+800
4
Harry KaneEngland
+1000
5
Folarin BalogunUSA
+2500
6
Lamine YamalSpain
+2800
7
Vinicius Jr.Brazil
+2800
8
Mikel OyarzabalSpain
+3300
9
Cristiano RonaldoPortugal
+4000
10
Jude BellinghamEngland
+4000
Click odds to bet on Fanatics. 21+. Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.

Group Stage Predictions

Favored top 2 qualifiers from each of the 12 groups

Favored to qualify
Key storyline

Group A

Mexico1st+2500
South Korea2nd

Host nation Mexico backed by home crowd at Azteca

Group B

Switzerland1st+8000
Canada2nd

Host nation Canada looking for a knockout debut

Group C

Brazil1st+1200
Morocco2nd+2500

Morocco's 2022 semifinal run makes them a dark horse

Group D

USA1st+3300
Paraguay2nd+40000

Hosts USA with home advantage but Paraguay battle-tested

Group E

Germany1st
Ecuador2nd

Ecuador's speed and physicality a real threat

Group F

Netherlands1st
Japan2nd

Japan's consistency makes them a dangerous opponent

Group G

Belgium1st+5000
Egypt2nd+25000

Salah-led Egypt eyeing an upset

Group H

Spain1st+600
Uruguay2nd

Group of death — Spain vs Uruguay headline clash

Group I

France1st+187
Colombia2nd+2500

Colombia's youthful attack can challenge the favorites

Group J

Argentina1st+400
Austria2nd

Defending champs expected to dominate

Group K

Portugal1st+1200
Colombia2nd+2500

Ronaldo's final World Cup meets a hungry Colombia

Group L

England1st+1000
Croatia2nd

Two 2018 semifinalists meet again

Our win probability model analyzes historical World Cup performance, current FIFA rankings, squad strength, and recent form to generate win probabilities for all 48 teams. Odds are sourced live from Fanatics and updated regularly.

Last updated:

Predictions Disclaimer

Predictions are AI-generated for entertainment purposes only. They do not constitute betting advice, and past model performance does not guarantee future results. Probabilities and odds are derived from statistical models and may not reflect actual bookmaker lines.

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